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Today, there is a high probability of watching black Thursday, holding positions for a day and not operating!Overnight, European and American stock markets were mixed. Except for the slight decline of the Dow, the large-scale technology stocks in the United States basically rose sharply. However, the Chinese stock index bottomed out and fell by 0.94%, and the A50 index fell by 0.01%, and the external sentiment was neutral.

Technically, as I have repeatedly suggested in the article, Tuesday's false negative line is a small high point. Before there is no counter-package to recover lost ground, the market estimates that Xiaoyang Xiaoyin has a high probability of continuing to shake and consolidate, so don't expect a big rise or a big fall, lower expectations, and try the market.Yesterday, the shrinkage of A shares was weak, and the differences between large and small-cap stocks continued to expand. Even in the end, the CSI 1000ETF was still heavy. Recently, hot money and quantification have obviously controlled the market initiative, while machine ticket purchase has been obviously marginalized. So how will A shares go today?There is still a problem to remind everyone, although the small ticket has gone up again recently, but high-priced stocks have nuclear buttons every day. Yesterday, most of the consumption, AI and robots were dominated by the first board hype, and the funds switched between the above sectors, but the influence was really average.

December 12th Morning Post: US stocks hit a new high. Will A shares follow?When we adjusted the monetary easing more than expected, the exchange rate did not move; The old US CPI data is favorable for interest rate cuts, and the rise of the US dollar and the fall of non-US currencies are directly reflected. Therefore, it still depends on the detailed rules and policies, otherwise the market funds will not buy it now.Today, the market has a high probability of falling back, so be careful of the risks caused by low-priced stocks. I am not sure when the hot money and quantification will start sickle harvesting, but the median ticket continues to ebb, which is a risk signal in itself. Safety first now, through the shock consolidation period, the good days are yet to come!